安徽暴雨落区与一些物理量关系的统计分析   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

任敏  陈焱  璩英 《气象》2006,32(4):40-44

从概率统计的思路出发，用1994-2003年的降水资料对安徽省夏半年（4—9月）暴雨落区、频数等与5840gpm线的关系进行了统计分析，并用2003年淮河洪涝期间20个暴雨区域与某些实况物理量场对比，分析了暴雨落区与一些物理量分布的关系，表明了安徽省暴雨主要集中在梅雨期到7月份，暴雨日数多寡和暴雨范围大小，基本上主导汛期降水多少和旱涝趋势。暴雨落区集中出现在5820～5840gpm的区域，而〈5750gpm和〉5870gpm的区域很少出现暴雨。因此梅雨期主雨带位置预报大致可以用5840gpm线的移动作参考。在物理量上，西风急流北侧以及500hPa上升运动中心南侧到850hPa上升运动中心北侧，有利于暴雨发生发展。  相似文献   

THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SCS SUMMER MONSOON INTENSITY AND OCEANIC THERMODYNAMIC VARIABLES AT DIFFERENT TIME SCALE     

谷德军  纪忠萍  王东晓  梁建茵  方一川 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2007,13(1):85-88

The oscillation characteristics of 1948 - 2003 South China Sea (SCS) summer monsoon intensity (SCSSMI) is analyzed by wavelet transform and the relationship between SCSSMI filtered by Lanczos filter at different time scale and oceanic thermal conditions is studied. The results show that SCSSMI exhibits dominant interannual (about 4 a), decadal (about 9 a) and interdecadal (about 38 a) oscillation periods. The interannual variation is the strongest and the interdecadal variation the weakest. The region of significant correlation between SCS summer monsoon intensity and oceanic thermodynamic variables at different time scale is greatly different. Significant correlation area of interannual variation of SCSSMI is concentrated in near equatorial region. Corresponding correlation displays quasi-biannual variability. If positive anomalies of SST and the depth of thermocline happen in eastern equatorial Indian Ocean and western equatorial Pacific, and negative anomalies of SST and the depth of thermocline happen in western equatorial Indian Ocean and eastern equatorial Pacific in previous autumn and winter, the interannual variation of SCSSMI will enhance. If the condition is contrary, interannual variation of SCSSMI will weaken. The interannual variation of SCSSMI will influence SST. The region surrounding SCS and east of Australia shows significantly negative correlation in autumn, and significantly positive correlation exhibits in west equatorial Indian Ocean, eastern equatorial Pacific and equatorial Atlantic in winter. The decadal variation of SCSSMI is modulated by PDO. Interdecadal variation of SCSSMI is relevant to the global warming and PDO.  相似文献   

A review on reflective remote sensing and data assimilation techniques for enhanced agroecosystem modeling     

《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2007,9(2):165-193

During the last 50 years, the management of agroecosystems has been undergoing major changes to meet the growing demand for food, timber, fibre and fuel. As a result of this intensified use, the ecological status of many agroecosystems has been severely deteriorated. Modeling the behavior of agroecosystems is, therefore, of great help since it allows the definition of management strategies that maximize (crop) production while minimizing the environmental impacts. Remote sensing can support such modeling by offering information on the spatial and temporal variation of important canopy state variables which would be very difficult to obtain otherwise.In this paper, we present an overview of different methods that can be used to derive biophysical and biochemical canopy state variables from optical remote sensing data in the VNIR-SWIR regions. The overview is based on an extensive literature review where both statistical–empirical and physically based methods are discussed. Subsequently, the prevailing techniques of assimilating remote sensing data into agroecosystem models are outlined. The increasing complexity of data assimilation methods and of models describing agroecosystem functioning has significantly increased computational demands. For this reason, we include a short section on the potential of parallel processing to deal with the complex and computationally intensive algorithms described in the preceding sections.The studied literature reveals that many valuable techniques have been developed both for the retrieval of canopy state variables from reflective remote sensing data as for assimilating the retrieved variables in agroecosystem models. However, for agroecosystem modeling and remote sensing data assimilation to be commonly employed on a global operational basis, emphasis will have to be put on bridging the mismatch between data availability and accuracy on one hand, and model and user requirements on the other. This could be achieved by integrating imagery with different spatial, temporal, spectral, and angular resolutions, and the fusion of optical data with data of different origin, such as LIDAR and radar/microwave.  相似文献   

An averaging method to study the motion of lunar artificial satellites I: Disturbing Function     

Daniel Steichen 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》1998,68(3):205-224

We describe a semi-analytical averaging method aimed at the computation of the motion of an artificial satellite of the Moon. In this paper, the first of the two part study, we expand the disturbing function with respect to the small parameters. In particular, a semi-analytic theory of the motion of the Moon around the Earth and the libration of the lunar equatorial plane using different reference frames are introduced. The second part of this article shows that the choice of the canonical Poincaré variables lead to equations in closed form without singularities in e = 0 or I = 0. We introduce new expressions that are sufficiently compact to be used for the study of any artificial satellite. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献   

Stream overflow and dwarf nova eruptions     

M. R. Schreiber  & F. V. Hessman 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》1998,301(3):626-630

We consider the effects of accretion stream overflow on the viscous dynamics of accretion discs in dwarf novae. If the stream from the secondary star is geometrically thick enough, some fraction of its material can flow over and under the disc. The mass and specific angular momentum of the stream are then deposited not only at the point of collision with the outer disc, but also at those radii in the inner disc with geometric heights that are large enough to intercept the residual stream, or near the radius where the disc has the same specific angular momentum as the stream. The overflowing stream can alter the behaviour of heating fronts and cooling fronts in the disc. If the mass fraction of the overflowing stream is of order tens of per cent, the deposition of mass in the inner parts of the disc is sufficient to change the character of the eruption light curves significantly.  相似文献   

TRIFFID Photometry of Globular Cluster Cores — I. Photometric Techniques and Variable Stars in M15     

Butler  Shearer  Redfern  Colhoun  O'Kane  Penny  Morris  Griffiths  & Cullum 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》1998,296(2):379-391

The Galway/DIAS Image Sharpening Camera, TRIFFID, has been used to make observations in two colours of the centre of the post-core-collapse globular cluster M15. We present here our analysis of the photometry in B over two seasons. We have combined the complementary qualities of the HST 's high astrometric precision and TRIFFID's extended coverage and photometric precision, to perform crowded-field photometry in the innermost region of M15. Our technique virtually eliminates the problem of extreme crowding which has hitherto hampered studies of the variable star populations in globular cluster cores, and thereby provides an extension of the HST 's capability. Candidate variables detected with the HST have been confirmed and monitored over longer periods. We show that most of these are RR Lyrae stars, and that one is a short-period Type II Cepheid (the third to be discovered in M15). Our photometric study also produced evidence of a similar number of new variables. These also appear to be RR Lyrae stars, except for a possible eclipsing system. Further data from an upgraded version of TRIFFID have recently been obtained to help to refine the light curves of all these objects.  相似文献   

Spectroscopic observations of the eclipsing polar MN Hya (RX J0929–24)     

Gavin Ramsay  & Peter J. Wheatley 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》1998,301(1):95-100

We present low–medium resolution optical spectroscopy of the eclipsing AM Her system MN Hya (RX J0929–24). We determine the magnetic field strength at the primary accretion region of the white dwarf to be 42 MG from the spacing of cyclotron features visible during π ∼ 0.4–0.7. From spectra taken during the eclipse we find that the secondary has an M3–4 spectral type. Combined with the eclipse photometry of Sekiguchi, Nakada &38; Bassett and an estimate of the interstellar extinction we find a distance of ∼300–700 pc. We find unusual line variations at π ∼ 0.9: Hα is seen in absorption and emission. This is at the same point in the orbital phase at which a prominent absorption dip is seen in soft X-rays.  相似文献   

Change in the magnetic properties of bituminous coal intruded by an igneous dike, Dutch Creek Mine, Pitkin County, Colorado   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

A. N. Thorpe  F. E. Senftle  R. B. Finkelman  F. T. Dulong  N. H. Bostick 《International Journal of Coal Geology》1998,36(3-4)

Magnetization measurements have been made on natural coke–coal samples collected at various distances from a felsic porphyry dike in a coal seam in Dutch Creek Mine, Colorado to help characterize the nature and distribution of the iron-bearing phases. The magnetization passes through a maximum at the coke-to-coal transition about 31 cm from the dike contact. The magnetic measurements support the geochemical data indicating that magmatic fluids along with a high-temperature gas pulse moved into the coal bed. Interaction of the magmatic fluids with the coal diminished the reducing power of the thermal gas pulse from the dike to a point about 24 cm into the coal. The hot reducing gas penetrated further and produced a high temperature (400–525°C) zone (at about 31 cm) just ahead of the magmatic fluids. Metallic iron found in this zone is the principal cause of the observed high magnetization. Beyond this zone, the temperature was too low to alter the coal significantly.  相似文献   

A Ca ii H&K survey of γ Doradus candidates     

Anthony B. Kaye  & Klaus G. Strassmeier 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》1998,294(2):L35-L39

In an investigation of the starspot hypothesis as it applies to the 'slowly variable' F-type dwarfs, we spectroscopically observed eight promising γ Doradus candidates to search for Ca  ii H&K emission. We found that there are no significant emission reversals in the cores of these resonance lines. Based on the ceiling flux calculations of the Ca  ii K line and on calculations of the Rossby number, we conclude that there is no support for the presence of strong magnetic activity and the starspot hypothesis in these objects.  相似文献   

The slope of the RR Lyrae M_V–[Fe/H] relation     

Fernley  Carney  Skillen  Cacciari  & Janes 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》1998,293(3):L61-L64

We review the available observational data to show that the slope of the RR Lyrae M_V –[Fe/H] relation is 0.18±0.03. The recent claim by Feast that, because of biases, the true slope is much steeper is not justified.  相似文献